DCE Holdings — Investment Office
Sector Screener
Pre-valuation pipeline. Quality + Valuation scoring with IRR estimates before full Columbia model.
Summary — Top 10 by Market Cap
| Ticker | Company | Price | Q (Abs) | Q (Rel) | Quality | Q Δ | V (Abs) | V (Rel) | Valuation | IRR | Mkt Cap | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ORLY | O'Reilly Automotive | — | 4.30 | 3.96 | 4.20 | -0.20 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 16.6% | $1,038B | WATCHLIST |
| AZO | AutoZone | — | 4.15 | 3.77 | 4.04 | -0.35 | 3.14 | 1.14 | 2.54 | 9.9% | $70,489M | WATCHLIST |
| ALSN | Allison Transmission | — | 4.07 | 3.37 | 3.86 | +0.24 | 4.79 | 3.50 | 4.40 | 12.9% | $9,404M | REVIEW |
| MOD | Modine Manufacturing | — | 3.64 | 3.27 | 3.53 | +0.47 | 3.83 | 2.00 | 3.28 | — | $4,129M | PASS |
| ALV | Autoliv | — | 3.69 | 3.08 | 3.51 | +0.44 | 4.86 | 3.93 | 4.58 | 69.0% | $7,522M | REVIEW |
| LKQ | LKQ Corp | — | 3.25 | 2.48 | 3.02 | -0.58 | 4.64 | 3.21 | 4.21 | 20.4% | $9,687M | REVIEW |
| APTV | Aptiv | — | 3.19 | 2.62 | 3.02 | -0.22 | 5.00 | 3.86 | 4.66 | 31.4% | $15,506M | REVIEW |
| BWA | BorgWarner | — | 3.04 | 2.92 | 3.00 | -0.21 | 4.67 | 4.50 | 4.62 | 21.1% | $6,952M | REVIEW |
| GPC | Genuine Parts | — | 3.14 | 2.22 | 2.87 | +0.39 | 3.93 | 2.21 | 3.41 | 17.1% | $16,254M | PASS |
| MGA | Magna International | — | 2.74 | 2.00 | 2.52 | -0.34 | 5.00 | 4.83 | 4.95 | 46.6% | $11,985M | REVIEW |
Quality Metrics
| Ticker | ROIC 3yr | ROIC Trend | GM CV | Op Margin | FCF Conv | Rev CAGR 5y | EPS CAGR 5y | FCF/sh CAGR | ND/EBITDA | GW+Int %TA | Capex/Rev | FCF CV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ORLY | 41.4% | +32.7% | 0.01 | 19.5% | 0.91x | 10.5% | 17.9% | 19.9% | 1.5x | 6.2% | 5.5% | 0.54 |
| AZO | 39.7% | +0.6% | 0.01 | 19.1% | 1.05x | 8.4% | 15.0% | 10.0% | 2.0x | 1.6% | — | 0.41 |
| ALSN | 20.4% | +65.0% | 0.04 | 30.8% | 0.82x | 3.6% | 11.1% | 6.4% | 1.5x | 38.9% | 4.9% | 0.33 |
| MOD | 15.7% | +474.2% | 0.17 | 12.1% | 0.92x | 5.5% | — | — | 0.7x | 12.2% | — | 1.01 |
| ALV | 12.5% | +15.7% | 0.09 | 9.4% | 1.59x | 4.0% | 8.7% | 48.9% | 1.2x | 17.5% | — | 0.70 |
| LKQ | 9.8% | +4.8% | 0.02 | 9.3% | 0.91x | 2.8% | 8.5% | 3.6% | 2.3x | 36.4% | 2.2% | 0.46 |
| APTV | 8.8% | -52.1% | 0.14 | 10.3% | 1.02x | 6.5% | 12.6% | 8.7% | 2.3x | 21.4% | — | 0.23 |
| BWA | 8.4% | -27.2% | 0.07 | 9.3% | 1.43x | 6.7% | -16.1% | 5.3% | 1.0x | 16.8% | — | 0.13 |
| GPC | 14.5% | -5.4% | 0.08 | 6.1% | 0.75x | 6.0% | 8.8% | 3.1% | 2.1x | 15.0% | 2.1% | 0.38 |
| MGA | 7.8% | -49.4% | 0.06 | 4.9% | 0.57x | 1.7% | -8.8% | -8.7% | 1.0x | 8.6% | 5.2% | 0.51 |
Valuation Metrics
| Ticker | EV/EBIT | P/E | EV/EBITDA | FCF Yield | Earn Yield | EY Spread | PEG | Base IRR | Full IRR | Mkt Cap ($M) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ORLY | 321.6x | 434.8x | 281.6x | 40.9% | 31.1% | -4.0% | 24.35x | 20.3% | 16.6% | $1,037,676M |
| AZO | 22.9x | 28.2x | 19.5x | 5.0% | 4.4% | +7.6% | 1.88x | 14.9% | 9.9% | $70,489M |
| ALSN | 11.1x | 12.9x | 9.9x | 10.8% | 9.0% | +4.7% | 1.16x | 17.3% | 12.9% | $9,404M |
| MOD | 14.2x | 22.4x | 11.3x | 5.6% | 7.1% | +2.8% | — | — | — | $4,129M |
| ALV | 9.5x | 11.6x | 6.8x | 15.1% | 10.6% | +6.3% | 1.34x | 64.0% | 69.0% | $7,522M |
| LKQ | 11.3x | 14.0x | 8.7x | 16.7% | 8.8% | +4.5% | 1.66x | 20.3% | 20.4% | $9,687M |
| APTV | 11.4x | 8.7x | 7.7x | 17.7% | 8.8% | +4.5% | 0.69x | 26.4% | 31.4% | $15,506M |
| BWA | 7.2x | 20.6x | 4.7x | 20.8% | 13.9% | +9.6% | — | 26.1% | 21.1% | $6,952M |
| GPC | 14.9x | 18.0x | 11.6x | 11.6% | 6.7% | +2.4% | 2.04x | 14.8% | 17.1% | $16,254M |
| MGA | 8.6x | 11.9x | 4.5x | 50.3% | 11.6% | +7.3% | — | 41.6% | 46.6% | $11,985M |